Food price volatility
نویسندگان
چکیده
The high food prices experienced over recent years have led to the widespread view that food price volatility has increased. However, volatility has generally been lower over the two most recent decades than previously. Variability over the most recent period has been high but, with the important exception of rice, not out of line with historical experience. There is weak evidence that grains price volatility more generally may be increasing but it is too early to say.
منابع مشابه
Iran’s Maize Import Policy Based on the Exchange Rate Volatility and Price Expectation
The present study has made an attempt to discuss the effects of exchange rate volatility and price expectation on maize imports in Iran from 1980 to 2013. In doing so, using the EGARCH technique for time series econometrics, price volatility variables for both exchange rate and final price have been calculated, and the time series for these variables have been extracted. Additionally, in regard...
متن کاملThe Effect of Oil Price Uncertainty on Food Price in South Africa
This paper examines the effect of the volatility of oil prices on food price in South Africa using monthly data covering the period 2002:01 to 2014:09. Food price is measured by the South African consumer price index for food while oil price is proxied by the Brent crude oil. The study employs the GARCH-in-mean VAR model, which allows the investigation of the effect of a negative and positive s...
متن کاملRising Food Prices, Food Price Volatility, and Social Unrest
Can food prices cause social unrest? Throughout history, riots have frequently broken out, ostensibly as a consequence of high food prices. Using monthly data at the international level, this paper studies the impact of food prices – both food price levels volatility – on social unrest. Because food prices and social unrest are jointly determined, data on natural disasters are used to identify ...
متن کاملFood Security, Price Volatility and Trade
-40.0 -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 140.0 160.0 180.0 Food Price Index in USD -annualIndex Trend Cycle -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Food Price Index in SDR -annualIndex Trend Cycle By Eugenio Díaz-Bonilla, Inter-American Development Bank Juan Francisco Ron, Inter-American Development Bank Issue Paper No. 28 ICTSD Programme on Agricultural Trade and Sustainable Development November ...
متن کاملAnalysis of Price Volatility and Implications for Price Stabilization Policies in Mozambique
High food price instability is one of the major risks facing agricultural households from developing countries. Resulting from agronomic factors as well as the historically low levels of world grain stocks and climate change, increased food price volatility has attracted renewed interest among policy experts in identifying appropriate policy instruments to counter its effects. This paper applie...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره 365 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2010